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Monday, February 08, 2010

LAST UPDATE: MONDAY COMPLETE

NEXT UPDATE: TUESDAY AT 11 AM ET

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Villanova Wildcats at West Virginia Mountaineers
[ESPN | 7:00 PM ET]
Team Tips
Top Trends
Key Injuries
Wildcats: Villanova is coming off just their 2nd SU loss of the season, having lost by double digits to Georgetown just 2 days ago. When they lost SU earlier this season, they responded with a 38 point blowout win and ATS cover. The Wildcats are 20-2 SU, and ranked #2 in the nation because of their season long success. Villanova is 10-2 SU and 8-4 ATS away from home this season, both true road games and neutral court games. The Wildcats are 1-1 both SU and ATS as the listed underdog this season. Villanova is 6-2 ATS in expected close games, with ATS lines of 5 PTS or fewer. Villanova averages more than 85 PPG this season, with a huge reason being the play of G Scottie Reynolds. Reynolds averages nearly 19 PPG this season, but has struggled against West Virginia in the past. Reynolds has only averaged 9.3 PPG in 3 career meetings against the Mountaineers, and has fouled out of the 2 most recent match ups.

PROJECTED SCORE: 76 (Side of the Day)

Wildcats are 8-3 ATS last 11 vs. Big East.

Over is 6-1 last 7 games following a SU loss.

None.  

Mountaineers (-4.5, O/U 150): West Virginia has enjoyed recent success against Villanova, winning 4 of the past 5 games against them SU. Currently #6 in the nation, the Mountaineers stand at 19-3 SU, thanks to a 6 game winning streak. West Virginia has won their past 2 games by a combined total of 38 PTS, both against league opponents. The Mountaineers are 10-1 SU and 4-6 ATS this season, with their lone home defeat against Syracuse by a single point. Today will mark only the 4th time this season that West Virginia will be a single digit home favorite. The Mountaineers are 5-4 ATS as a single digit favorite this entire season. West Virginia has scored 70 PTS or more in 4 of their past 5 contests. The Mountaineers are led by 3 forwards, notably Da'Sean Butler. Butler leads the team in scoring with 17.3 PPG, and also grabs over 6 RPG this season. The Mountaineers have held 3 of their last 4 opponents to 60 PTS or fewer.

PROJECTED SCORE: 74

Mountaineers are 1-6 ATS last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

Under is 6-1 last 7 games following an ATS win.

None.

NBA: News/Injury Wire | Best Lines | Pro Picks

Dallas Mavericks at Golden St. Warriors
[10:30 PM ET]
Team Tips
Top Trends
Key Injuries
Mavericks (-4.5, O/U 218): Dallas appears to be tiring down a bit as the All Star break approaches, having lost 4 of their past 5 games SU. Dallas is 31-19 SU on the season, currently leading the Southwest division of the Western Conference. Despite all of their winning this season, the Mavericks are only 20-30 ATS this season. The Mavericks are 16-10 SU and 15-11 ATS on the road this season. Every single road game but 1 this season have featured the exact same result both SU and ATS for Dallas. Dallas is 7-6 ATS as the listed road favorite this season. Since the new year, the Mavericks are a paltry 4-14 ATS in their 18 games. Dallas has scored at least 106 PTS in 6 of their past 7 games. F Dirk Nowitzki averages 25 PPG this season, the 7th most in the NBA this season. Nowitzki has been held under 30 PTS in 9 consecutive games. The Mavericks have struggled of late because of their defense, allowing 6 straight opponents to score more than 100 PTS against them.

PROJECTED SCORE: 116 (OVER - Total of the Day)

Mavs are 5-21 ATS last 26 games as a favorite.

Under is 22-6 last 28 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

None.

 

 

 

Warriors: It's been more than 2 weeks since the Warriors have tasted victory, having lost 8 consecutive games SU. Golden St. is 13-36 SU on the season, the 3rd worst record in the entire NBA. Surprisingly, the Warriors have been an ATS machine, having gone 27-21-1 ATS this entire season. The Warriors are 9-14 SU and 13-10 ATS this season at home. The Warriors have lost each of their past 3 home games ATS, with all 3 coming as the listed home underdog. Golden St. is 8-5 ATS as the listed home underdog this entire season. The Warriors are 7-4 ATS over their past 11 games despite their poor SU record in that same span. The Warriors have won both meetings ATS against the Mavericks this season, with both ATS wins coming as double digit underdogs. G Monta Ellis is on fire this season offensively, ranking 6th in the NBA with 26.2 PPG. The Warriors average nearly 107 PPG, but allow an NBA worst 111.3 PPG this season.  

PROJECTED SCORE: 108

Warriors are 11-4 ATS last 15 vs. Western Conference.

Over is 8-3 last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

 

F Corey Maggette (finger) is probable.

F Anthony Randolph (ankle) is out.  

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