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Key Injuries

Saints: Siena loves this time of the year, especially in the underdog role. The past 2 seasons Siena has upset a higher ranked team in the 1st round of the NCAA Tournament. Siena is a #13 seed this year, and a very dangerous one at that. The Saints are 27-6 SU and 16-14-1 ATS this season. The Saints went 17-1 SU in Metro Atlantic play this season in route to the conference championship. Siena is 9-6 SU and 9-5-1 ATS away from home this season, with only 1 game coming in neutral court settings. Siena is 1-3 ATS this season as the listed underdog. The Saints have the ability to score in waves, as they've scored at least 72 PTS in each of their past 5 games. 4 different Saints players average double figures in PTS for Siena, led by F Alex Franklin. Franklin averages 16.3 PPG while shooting 56.3% from the field. Franklin also grabs 8 RPG this season, and is one of 4 starters that has started every game this season. Only 1 opponent has scored more than 70 PTS against Siena in their past 15 games.

PROJECTED SCORE: 68 (Side of the Day)

Siena is 4-1 ATS last 5 NCAA Tournament games as an underdog.

Under is 7-0 last 7 overall.

Boilermakers (-4, O/U 130): Despite finishing the season at 27-5 SU and as Big 10 regular season champions, Purdue could only muster a #4 seed as they enter the NCAA Tournament. Purdue has lost 2 of their past 5 games SU, with their latest loss hurting much more than your typical defeat. The Boilermakers only scored 42 PTS against Minnesota in the Big 10 conference tournament. Needless to say, they were blown out by the Gophers, and much doubt has been cast over this Purdue squad. The loss of F Robbie Hummel to injury was brutal for this Purdue team, as he had started every game this season and was arguably their best player. In both SU losses of late, Purdue could only muster 42 and 44 PTS. The Boilermakers are 13-3 SU and 5-9-2 ATS away from home this season. Purdue is 4-8-2 ATS as a single digit favorite this season. Purdue has yet to win any of their past 7 games ATS heading into the NCAA Tournament. G E'Twaun Moore averages a team high 16.6 PPG this season, along with 3.7 RPG and 2.7 APG this season.

PROJECTED SCORE: 66

Purdue is 0-6-1 ATS last 7 games overall.

Under is 4-1 last 5 neutral site games as a favorite.

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Key Injuries

Cardinals: Predicting how Louisville will play is like putting together a jigsaw puzzle with the lights off. Louisville has beaten Syracuse twice this season SU, yet have lost by 19 PTS to St. Johns. If Coach Pitino tells you he doesn't know what truly to expect, how should anyone else know? Louisville enters the NCAA Tournament with a 20-12 SU record. The Cardinals finished Big East regular season play at 11-7 SU, good enough for 5th place. Unfortunately the Cardinals lost their opening game in the Big East tournament SU to Cincinnati. Louisville is 5-8 both SU and ATS away from home this season. The Cardinals are 4-3 ATS as the listed underdog this season. Louisville has been so inconsistent ATS this season, as they've yet to win more than back to back games this season. Defensively, Louisville allowed opponents to average 70 PPG this season. F Samardo Samuels has become a player on the national scene this year, as he averaged 15.3 PPG and 7 RPG this season. Both were team highs for one of 2 starters that started every game this season for Louisville.

G Jerry Smith (thumb) is questionable.

 

 

 

Golden Bears (-1, O/U 149): Don't look now but the Pac-10 is starting to play pretty well at the most important time of the season. California has won 8 of their past 10 games SU entering the NCAA Tournament. Their latest SU loss came in the Pac 10 conference championship game, where they lost by 4 PTS to Washington. Cal had already won the regular season championship thanks to a 13-5 SU record. Overall, Cal is 23-10 SU and 19-13 ATS this season. The Golden Bears are 8-9 both SU and ATS this season. Cal had the unique distinction of having every single game away from home having the same exact outcome both SU and ATS this season. Cal was 9-3 ATS as a single digit favorite this season. The Golden Bears rely on 4 senior starters entering the NCAA Tournament, yet have just learned they will be without starting F Omondi Amoke. Amoke was sent home for a violation of team rules. Cal has scored more than 70 PTS in each of their past 4 games. 3 different Golden Bears average at least 14 PPG this season, led by G Jerome Randle. Randle averages a team high 18.7 PPG and a team high 4.5 APG this season for California.  

PROJECTED SCORE: 77

California is 6-1 ATS last 7 games overall.

Over is 19-7 last 26 neutral site games.