Baltimore's Strong Road Performance and St. Louis's Home Struggles
Baltimore Orioles: Dominant on the Road
The Orioles have shown remarkable consistency and strength in their road games this season. Here are some key stats:
First Half Run Line Record: Baltimore is 10-7 on the first half run line in their 17 road games this year.
Total Bases Allowed on the Road: The Orioles have allowed an average of just 10.82 total bases per game on the road. This suggests that opposing teams are struggling to generate offense against them.
BABIP on the Road: With a BABIP of .251, Baltimore's defense and pitching staff have been effective in limiting the number of hits on balls put into play.
Runs Allowed in the First Half: Baltimore has allowed an average of only 1.35 runs in the first half of their road games. This is an impressive stat that highlights their ability to keep opponents' scoring in check early on.
Despite these strong performances, Baltimore finds themselves as underdogs in the first half today. Given their track record, this presents a valuable betting opportunity.
St. Louis Cardinals: Home Disadvantage
Conversely, the St. Louis Cardinals have struggled significantly at home, especially against the spread:
Home Performance Against the Number: The Cardinals have consistently failed to cover the number at home, making them a risky bet in home games. Their performance suggests vulnerabilities that can be exploited by visiting teams.
Given the Orioles' strong road stats and the Cardinals' home struggles, betting on Baltimore for the first half run line as an underdog is a solid play. Here are the key points to consider:
Value in Underdogs: Baltimore's stats suggest they are being undervalued as underdogs in the first half. Their ability to limit total bases and runs, combined with St. Louis's poor home performance, makes the Orioles a compelling choice.
Baltimore's impressive road record and defensive stats indicate that they should not be considered underdogs in the first half today. Coupled with St. Louis's struggles at home, this creates an attractive betting opportunity. Circa Las Vegas is currently +1/2 -120 and straight up you should be able to get +120 and that is a gift.