CLEMSON +6
CLEMSON +195 CLEMSON is 10-1 ATS in its L11 bowl games, including six outright upsets
per VSIN= At this point, all the value is on Clemson. The Tigers (14-0, 11-3 ATS)
are super contrarian in what will be the most heavily bet game of
the season — maybe the decade. Plus you can take advantage of an
infated line, ideally at +6. There is also a buy-low, sell-high recency
bias here, as LSU rolled over Oklahoma and Clemson barely edged
Ohio State 29-23 as a 2.5-point favorite. Clemson has an experience
advantage, having played in three of the last four national title
games and won twice. Dabo Swinney can use the “no one believes
in us” card as a motivator. Give me Trevor Lawrence and Clemson as
a contrarian dog with a chip on its shoulder.
Top Trends from Recent National Championship Games
* UNDERDOGS are on a 6-0 ATS run in L6 national championship games * Teams failing to score 21 points in national title games are 1-12 SU & ATS
* SEC teams are 9-4 SU & ATS in national title games since '06 * Teams scoring 31 points in national title games are 15-3 SU & 14-4 ATS
* SEC UNDERDOGS are 7-0 ATS in National Title games since '99 * Favorites of 5-points or more are just 5-9 SU & 3-11 ATS in national title contests since '99
* OUTRIGHT winners are just 3-3 ATS in L6 national championship games * Favorites of 4-points or less are 5-1 SU & 4-2 ATS in national title contests since '08
* OVER the total is 10-5 in national title game since '05 * Breakdown of nat'l title total results <55: 10-3 OVER, >54.5: 6-2 UNDER
* Bettors have lost SEVEN straight national title games when moving totals