TheSharpPlays
here are the public dollar percentages averaged at two global offshore books on the wagers shown...
Spread: Washington 60% (This morning Michigan was 54%)
**Huge public money came in and swung to Washington this afternoon.**
Moneyline: Washington 53%
**Because Washington is plus money, the impact would be greater than the 53% might illustrate on a Washington outright win.**
Total: OVER 64%
The best outcome changed from this morning and now it is a Michigan win and cover...but the UNDER remains the key on the total for the book. Sharp money leans small to UNDER, but at 56.5...very tiny at current 56 price. Sharp money is mixed/flat on the side. Not enough to offset the Washington public money in terms of book need level.
Remember, just because the book wants something to hit does not mean it will hit. (They really wanted Miami Dolphins last night)
Will update if this changes in a material way.