gonna do a new thread each week, the other got too discombobulated
Category |
Since 2000 |
L3Y |
2020 |
Outrushed Foe 30+ Yards |
75% |
400-120 (77%) |
5-1 |
30+ Rush Attempts |
85% |
382-78 (83%) |
10-1 |
Against Rush 22 or less |
85% |
388-74 (84%) |
3-0 |
ATS Result for Winner if line < or = 6 |
91% |
433-48 (90%) |
9-1 |
+3+ Net Turnovers |
91% |
123-8 (94%) |
9-1 |
+2 Net Turnovers |
77% |
260-66 (80%) |
4-0 |
1. team runs for over 30 yds per game than opp (projections) (2-3 last week, 11-8 std ,8-3 std if 6 or less fav or a dog)
Chargers
Browns
Packers
2. team runs 30 or more times per game (projected) (1-3 last week, 8-7 std, 6-5 std if 6 or less fav or a dog)
NEng
Browns
Chargers
Rams
Cards
*Pitt and Tenn were plays but they play each other so cancels out
3. Team runs less than 22 times per game (fade these teams) on left (3-0 last week , 4-2 std)
Play vs ON
NYG Phil
Houston Packers
Jags Chargers
4. Play against teams that have allowed 90 or more pts last three games (3-0 last week, std 12-1)
Play vs ON
Dallas WASH
Norl Panthers
Raiders Bucs
Jags Chargers
at this point I would stay away from favs over 6 or use in teaser maybe