Kikuchi (Tor) over 6.5 k +140. Was wrong about Bassett yesterday. K rate was good, but obviously gave up too many hits/runs. He had 3 straight overs before an under @ KC, which at this point is elite at not striking out at home. Now at home, off a huge LA performance, I like the spot to have a good K day against LA which ranks 22nd.
Greene (Cin) over 6.5 K +115. TX is 8th in not striking out, but I like the spot for Greene. Two straight unders, both higher than todays number. He caught Phil at the end of their win streak and didn't cover 8.5 against a bad K team. Think he gets that 7-8 range with a lower number here.
Rodon (NYY) over 6.5 K +110 - I have been right on the last 2 starts for Rodon. I also had the under for NYY P Gil last night. Rodon went under in a low scoring, probably low energy game against Oak. Now he has to cover the same number after Gil, who isn't as good had a high pitch count into the 6th. Mil is 21st in K rate. I think he is more efficient and covers in the rebound spot.
Padres F5 -0.5 +115
Padres ML -115
I was against Suarez last start and he proved me wrong. A wise man told me to pay attention to his next start at SD. I think it helps that Phi jumped on Musgrove early. Looking for a solid performance from the home team and Cease to ge tthe better of Suarez in this match up.
I am sure more to come, but that is it for now. All the best to everyone today.
56-41 +16.26 units to date