Cody's NBA Prop
Another winner with Duren on Saturday took us to five of our last six Best Bets cashed. Let's start the year with another one...
Cavaliers @ Raptors
Jarrett Allen Over 31.5 PRAs
Allen had a really slow start to the season averaging just 23 PRA in November, but he bounced back in December averaging 29.3 PRA in 30.8 minutes. The back half of December was even better, as over his last 7 games he’s averaging 36 PRA in 33 minutes. Has always been more talented than a straight roll man like he has often been used, so with the Cavs being so shorthanded of late and guys coming in and out of the lineup, he’s had a chance to increase his role and has taken full advantage of it. The role is all of a sudden one of the best in the league for a big man, up at 46.9 front court touches over the last 7, which is 5th in the entire league, behind Jokic and above Sengun. His 8.9 elbow touches are second in the league behind Jokic, while his 12.1 paint touches leads the league. Donovan Mitchell did miss some of the games in this sample, but I’m still expecting the role to be really strong here. Minutes have been huge last 3 games, playing 35,35,40. I'm backing him to stay hot.
Summary:
Jarrett Allen OVER 31.5 PRAs
The odds are currently -121 on Caesars.
31.5 available many books
32.5 PRAs is ok, but I'd consider reducing the stake if you can't get 31.5.