Haven't posted NBA since beginning of season. Throwing my hat in the ring tonight...
Wolves -2.5 -120 - I have had success fading the popular story lines. Top seeded teams seem to be disrespected early in these play offs. Still, they are where they are for a reason. I was on the Wolves game one. One them again. I don't believe in the aging stars at this point, which includes Durant. These are the play-offs, this could be a long series, but I think Wolves are the better team and will win and cover to protect home court.
Bucks ML -115 - Same situation as above. Saw a lot of love for the Pacers, but was on the Bucks. As much as I want to see TH succeed, his numbers have dipped dramatically since his injury. This team still doesn't play defense and I think the experience of the Bucks will be enough.
Pacers/Bucks OVER 223.5 -110 I was on the wrong side last game and unders have been ruling the play offs. Still, I think this is a spot to take the over. Pacers offense will be better, but I don't think their D will be. They will keep this more competitive through scoring.
Clippers +2.5 -105 - I know this is now Clippers -1.5, but I would take the ML still. Clippers were another team I was on bc they were given no chance in game 1 or in the series. Just because Mavs finished the season strong doesn't automatically put them into the second round. I like defense and expect another solid defensive effort.
All the best to everyone tonight.